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Florida Atlantic 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.70 26.70 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 379.93 379.93 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.70 5.70 (+0.00)

Florida Atlantic 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 28.64 22.09 (-6.54) 22.09 17.60 (-4.49) 17.60 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 390.36 347.11 (-43.26) 313.64 286.95 (-26.69) 286.95 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.51 4.81 (-0.70) 4.91 4.51 (-0.40) 4.51 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 28.18 33.26 (+5.08) 26.00 31.04 (+5.04) 31.04 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 441.00 451.01 (+10.01) 394.82 424.56 (+29.74) 424.56 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 6.04 6.17 (+0.14) 5.54 6.08 (+0.54) 6.08 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.2

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 Monmouth Non-FBS Opponent W 42-20 1-0
2023-09-09 Ohio 17.88 19.34 +1.46 37.21 47.66% L 10-17 1-1
2023-09-17 @Clemson 8.80 37.20 +28.40 46.01 4.45% L 14-48 1-2
2023-09-23 @Illinois 19.62 35.59 +15.97 55.21 24.39% L 17-23 1-3
2023-10-07 Tulsa 30.14 22.77 -7.37 52.92 61.82% W 20-17 2-3
2023-10-14 @South Florida 30.33 31.60 +1.27 61.94 47.97% W 56-14 3-3
2023-10-21 UT San Antonio 21.53 30.03 +8.50 51.56 36.37% L 10-36 3-4
2023-10-27 @Charlotte 23.48 17.08 -6.40 40.56 60.27% W 38-16 4-4
2023-11-04 @UAB 31.19 31.81 +0.62 63.00 49.00% L 42-45 4-5
2023-11-11 East Carolina 20.22 15.62 -4.60 35.84 57.38% L 7-22 4-6
2023-11-18 Tulane 14.95 24.13 +9.18 39.08 35.28% L 8-24 4-7
2023-11-25 @Rice 22.90 32.45 +9.55 55.35 34.68% L 21-24 4-8

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
4-8 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 0.19%
2-10 1.59%
3-9 6.72%
4-8 15.75%
5-7 23.92%
6-6 24.33%
7-5 16.72%
8-4 7.92%
9-3 2.38%
10-2 0.43%
11-1 0.04%
12-0 0.00%